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LIVEВыборы в реальном времениLive Election Results

Обновлено: 14:01 ET · Источник: AP (сверка: NBC News)Updated: 14:01 ET · Source: AP (checked vs NBC News)
Предварительный подсчётданные AP по мере подсчёта; лидерство может меняться · штриховка — лидируют, сплошной — объявленоPreliminary countAP partial returns; leads can change · striped = leading, solid = called
Палата представителейHouse218 — большинство218 for majority
229D+32+35R138
Объявлено 367/435Called 367/435Подробнее ▾Details ▾
+ лидируют: D 32 · R 35leading: D 32 · R 35
СенатSenate51 — контроль51 for control
54D+2R44
Объявлено 33/35Called 33/35Подробнее ▾Details ▾
+ лидируют: D 2 · R 0leading: D 2 · R 0
ГубернаторыGovernors36 гонок36 races
22D+2R12
Объявлено 34/36Called 34/36Подробнее ▾Details ▾
+ лидируют: D 2 · R 0leading: D 2 · R 0

Сенат: тренд — D впереди в 22 из 35 гонок, где идёт подсчёт, R — в 13. Рынки: контроль у D — 99,9% Kalshi · 100% Polymarket (14:01 ET).Senate: trend — D ahead in 22 of 35 races with votes counted, R in 13. Markets: D control — 99.9% Kalshi · 100% Polymarket (14:01 ET).

Палата: тренд — D впереди в 258 из 431 гонок, где идёт подсчёт, R — в 173. Рынки: большинство у D — 99,9% Kalshi · 100% Polymarket (14:01 ET).House: trend — D ahead in 258 of 431 races with votes counted, R in 173. Markets: D majority — 99.9% Kalshi · 100% Polymarket (14:01 ET).

Губернаторы: тренд — D впереди в 24 из 36 гонок, где идёт подсчёт, R — в 12.Governors: trend — D ahead in 24 of 36 races with votes counted, R in 12.

Ключевые гонки · СенатKey races · Senateлистайте →swipe →

  • МичиганMichiganMID+7Эль-СайедEl-Sayedитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ТехасTexasTXD+12.1ТаларикоTalaricoитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • МэнMaineMED+7.4ДжексонJacksonитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ОгайоOhioOHD+4.9БраунBrownитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • КанзасKansasKSD+4.9ГамильтонHamiltonитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • АляскаAlaskaAKD+0.3ПелтолаPeltolaучтено 74%74% in
  • АйоваIowaIAD+4.1ТурекTurekитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • Сев. КаролинаN. CarolinaNCD+19.6КуперCooperитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ДжорджияGeorgiaGAD+18ОссоффOssoffитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • Нью-ГэмпширNew HampshireNHD+14ПаппасPappasитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ФлоридаFloridaFLR+2.9МудиMoodyитог AP ✓AP call ✓

Ключевые гонки · ГубернаторыKey races · Governorsлистайте →swipe →

  • ФлоридаFloridaFLR+1.3ДоналдсDonaldsитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ДжорджияGeorgiaGAD+8.6БоттомсBottomsитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • АризонаArizonaAZD+12.9ХоббсHobbsитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • МичиганMichiganMID+10.8БенсонBensonитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • НевадаNevadaNVD+7.6ФордFordитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ВисконсинWisconsinWID+8.2КроулиCrowleyитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • ОгайоOhioOHD+7.9ЭктонActonитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • АйоваIowaIAD+11СэндSandитог AP ✓AP call ✓
  • КанзасKansasKSD+0.5ХолшерHolscherучтено 98%98% in
  • ТехасTexasTXD+7.1ИнохосаHinojosaитог AP ✓AP call ✓
По штатам: ключевые гонкиBy state: key racesподсчёт идёт в 22 из 22 · объявлено AP: 20counting in 22 of 22 · AP calls: 20
ШтатStateГонкаRaceКандидаты D / RCandidates D / RЛидируетLeadingОтрыв, п.п.Margin, ptsПодсчитаноCountedСтатусStatus
ДжорджияGeorgia · СенатSenateСенатSenateОссофф (D) 59 / Коллинз (R) 41Ossoff (D) 59 / Collins (R) 41лидирует: leading: Оссофф (D) 59%Ossoff (D) 59%отрыв margin +18+18подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ДжорджияGeorgia · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorБоттомс (D) 54,3 / Джексон (R) 45,7Bottoms (D) 54.3 / Jackson (R) 45.7лидирует: leading: Боттомс (D) 54,3%Bottoms (D) 54.3%отрыв margin +8,6+8.6подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
Сев. КаролинаN. Carolina · СенатSenateСенатSenateКупер (D) 58,7 / Уотли (R) 39,1Cooper (D) 58.7 / Whatley (R) 39.1лидирует: leading: Купер (D) 58,7%Cooper (D) 58.7%отрыв margin +19,6+19.6подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ОгайоOhio · Сенат (досрочн.)Senate (special)Сенат (досрочн.)Senate (special)Браун (D) 50 / Хастед (R) 45,1Brown (D) 50 / Husted (R) 45.1лидирует: leading: Браун (D) 50%Brown (D) 50%отрыв margin +4,9+4.9подсчитано counted 98%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ОгайоOhio · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorЭктон (D) 52,3 / Рамасвами (R) 44,4Acton (D) 52.3 / Ramaswamy (R) 44.4лидирует: leading: Эктон (D) 52,3%Acton (D) 52.3%отрыв margin +7,9+7.9подсчитано counted 98%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ФлоридаFlorida · Сенат (досрочн.)Senate (special)Сенат (досрочн.)Senate (special)Никсон (D) 48 / Муди (R) 50,9Nixon (D) 48 / Moody (R) 50.9лидирует: leading: Муди (R) 50,9%Moody (R) 50.9%отрыв margin +2,9+2.9подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
МэнMaine · СенатSenateСенатSenateДжексон (D) 53,6 / Коллинз (R) 46,3Jackson (D) 53.6 / Collins (R) 46.3лидирует: leading: Джексон (D) 53,6%Jackson (D) 53.6%отрыв margin +7,4+7.4подсчитано counted 92%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
Нью-ГэмпширNew Hampshire · СенатSenateСенатSenateПаппас (D) 56,1 / Сунуну (R) 42Pappas (D) 56.1 / Sununu (R) 42лидирует: leading: Паппас (D) 56,1%Pappas (D) 56.1%отрыв margin +14+14подсчитано counted 92%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ФлоридаFlorida · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorДжолли (D) 48,7 / Доналдс (R) 50Jolly (D) 48.7 / Donalds (R) 50лидирует: leading: Доналдс (R) 50%Donalds (R) 50%отрыв margin +1,3+1.3подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ФлоридаFlorida · Поправка 3Amendment 3Поправка 3 налог на жильё · нужно 60% «за»Amendment 3 homestead tax · needs 60% yesДа 62 / Нет 38Yes 62 / No 38лидирует: leading: Да 62%Yes 62%отрыв margin +24+24подсчитано counted 99%AP: принята ✓AP: passed ✓
АйоваIowa · СенатSenateСенатSenateТурек (D) 50,5 / Хинсон (R) 46,4Turek (D) 50.5 / Hinson (R) 46.4лидирует: leading: Турек (D) 50,5%Turek (D) 50.5%отрыв margin +4,1+4.1подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
КанзасKansas · СенатSenateСенатSenateГамильтон (D) 50,9 / Маршалл (R) 46,1Hamilton (D) 50.9 / Marshall (R) 46.1лидирует: leading: Гамильтон (D) 50,9%Hamilton (D) 50.9%отрыв margin +4,9+4.9подсчитано counted 98%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
МичиганMichigan · СенатSenateСенатSenateЭль-Сайед (D) 52,5 / Роджерс (R) 45,5El-Sayed (D) 52.5 / Rogers (R) 45.5лидирует: leading: Эль-Сайед (D) 52,5%El-Sayed (D) 52.5%отрыв margin +7+7подсчитано counted 97%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ТехасTexas · СенатSenateСенатSenateТаларико (D) 55,1 / Пэкстон (R) 43Talarico (D) 55.1 / Paxton (R) 43лидирует: leading: Таларико (D) 55,1%Talarico (D) 55.1%отрыв margin +12,1+12.1подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
АризонаArizona · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorХоббс (D) 55,6 / Биггс (R) 42,7Hobbs (D) 55.6 / Biggs (R) 42.7лидирует: leading: Хоббс (D) 55,6%Hobbs (D) 55.6%отрыв margin +12,9+12.9подсчитано counted 83%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
АйоваIowa · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorСэнд (D) 55,5 / Лан (R) 44,5Sand (D) 55.5 / Lahn (R) 44.5лидирует: leading: Сэнд (D) 55,5%Sand (D) 55.5%отрыв margin +11+11подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
КанзасKansas · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorХолшер (D) 50,3 / Мастерсон (R) 49,7Holscher (D) 50.3 / Masterson (R) 49.7лидирует: leading: Холшер (D) 50,3%Holscher (D) 50.3%отрыв margin +0,5+0.5подсчитано counted 98%лидируетleading
МичиганMichigan · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorБенсон (D) 54,5 / Джеймс (R) 43,8Benson (D) 54.5 / James (R) 43.8лидирует: leading: Бенсон (D) 54,5%Benson (D) 54.5%отрыв margin +10,8+10.8подсчитано counted 97%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ТехасTexas · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorИнохоса (D) 52,8 / Эбботт (R) 45,7Hinojosa (D) 52.8 / Abbott (R) 45.7лидирует: leading: Инохоса (D) 52,8%Hinojosa (D) 52.8%отрыв margin +7,1+7.1подсчитано counted 99%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
ВисконсинWisconsin · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorКроули (D) 54,1 / Тиффани (R) 45,9Crowley (D) 54.1 / Tiffany (R) 45.9лидирует: leading: Кроули (D) 54,1%Crowley (D) 54.1%отрыв margin +8,2+8.2подсчитано counted 98%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
НевадаNevada · ГубернаторGovernorГубернаторGovernorФорд (D) 51,7 / Ломбардо (R) 44,1Ford (D) 51.7 / Lombardo (R) 44.1лидирует: leading: Форд (D) 51,7%Ford (D) 51.7%отрыв margin +7,6+7.6подсчитано counted 87%объявлено AP ✓AP call ✓
АляскаAlaska · СенатSenateСенатSenateПелтола (D) 48,2 / Салливан (R) 47,9Peltola (D) 48.2 / Sullivan (R) 47.9лидирует: leading: Пелтола (D) 48,2%Peltola (D) 48.2%отрыв margin +0,3+0.3подсчитано counted 74%лидируетleading

Только данные AP (сверка: NBC News); «—» — данных нет. «Подсчитано» — доля ожидаемых голосов по оценке AP (expected vote). Лидерство по неполному подсчёту может меняться. Время закрытия — по AP (pollClosingTime), ET; где два времени — часть участков закрывается позже (другой часовой пояс). Аляска и Мэн: ранжированное голосование, показан первый тур.AP data only (checked vs NBC News); “—” = no data yet. “Counted” = AP’s estimate of the share of expected vote. Leads in partial returns can change. Poll closing times are AP’s (pollClosingTime), ET; two times = part of the state closes later (other time zone). Alaska and Maine use ranked-choice voting: first-round figures shown.

Плитки с пунктиром — опросы, не результаты: NYT/Siena, 23 окт.–1 нояб. 2026 (5708 вер. избирателей; см. наш материал от 3 нояб.) (Сенат: MI, TX, ME, OH, KS, AK, IA); среднее опросов 270toWin на 2 нояб. 2026 (остальные). С началом подсчёта плитка переключается на данные AP: лидер, отрыв, % учтённых голосов.Dashed tiles are polls, not results: NYT/Siena, Oct 23–Nov 1, 2026 (5,708 likely voters) (Senate: MI, TX, ME, OH, KS, AK, IA); 270toWin polling average as of Nov 2, 2026 (others). Once counting starts each tile switches to AP returns: leader, margin, % of expected vote.

·

ICE at Polling Places: What Federal Law Actually Allows on Election Day

Sergey Danilov

Вход на избирательный участок — ICE на избирательных участках в день выборов

Legally, the answer is short: federal agents may not patrol polling places. But there’s a gap between “may not” and “won’t be anywhere nearby” — and that gap is where the fear lives.

Why it matters: Intimidation doesn’t require a single arrest. It only requires enough people believing one might happen.

The big picture

  • A federal ban dating to the post-Civil War era bars “troops or armed men” at polling places. Legal experts say that covers ICE.
  • Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin said ICE “isn’t there to patrol the polling places” — but left room for agents to appear over a threat or to serve a warrant.
  • Florida’s most-discussed incident — a detention near an early-voting site in Key Largo — was found by officials to be unrelated to voting. The agents were CBP, not ICE.
  • Advocates are preparing anyway: per NPR, they’re training observers, tracking agent activity and urging people to vote early.

What the law says

Per PolitiFact, federal bans on troops at the ballot box go back to after the Civil War. The law once carried an exception “to keep the peace at the polls,” but Congress struck it in 1909 — precisely out of fear any scuffle would become a pretext.

The statute refers to “any troops or armed men.” Campaign Legal Center attorney Jonathan Diaz told PolitiFact that this applies to any federal civilian law enforcement agency, ICE included.

What is allowed:

  • The Justice Department sends monitors to check compliance with federal election law. On Oct. 28, in court in an NAACP lawsuit, DOJ said (per Bloomberg Law and The Hill) that neither FBI nor ICE personnel would serve as monitors. Staff from ATF, DEA and the Bureau of Prisons will — unarmed, with no police powers and no authority to interfere with voting.
  • Local police operate under state rules.

Per Voting Rights Lab (via PolitiFact), California, Connecticut, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island and Virginia have passed laws limiting agents and troops near polling sites.

Infographic: what federal law allows at polling places — troops or armed men are banned; FBI and ICE will not serve as election monitors, per DOJ; unarmed DOJ monitors and local police are allowed; DHS says agents may appear if there is a threat or to serve a warrant. About 100,000 polling places, about 20,000 ICE employees, and 7 states with laws limiting agents and troops at the polls.
Infographic: American Panorama. Source: PolitiFact; NBC News; Bloomberg Law and The Hill; Voting Rights Lab via PolitiFact.

What DHS and the White House say

The administration’s line is, in effect, “no plans, but no promises.” Mullin told NBC News that “ICE isn’t there to patrol the polling places,” adding: “If we’re serving a warrant, we will be where we need to be.” AP reported on the eve of the election that DHS dismissed concerns about ICE at the polls as “fearmongering.”

At the same time, Trump and Mullin claim, without evidence, that more than 250,000 noncitizens are on voter rolls.

Between the lines: where the fear comes from

PolitiFact lists the triggers:

  • Steve Bannon in February: “You’re damn right we are going to have ICE surround the polls come November.”
  • White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt saying she “can’t guarantee that an ICE agent won’t be around a polling location.”
  • Real primary-season incidents: agents in a polling-site parking lot in Simi Valley, California; a visit to a poll worker in Syracuse, New York; agents in a parking lot in Bexar County, Texas, whom the sheriff asked to leave.

Note: the UC San Diego poll and the Bannon/Leavitt quotes are cited via PolitiFact.

The math ain’t mathing

PolitiFact’s arithmetic: nearly 100,000 polling places nationwide, about 20,000 people in all of ICE. One officer per site would cover only about a quarter of locations — and the agency would do nothing else. Former Maricopa County official Stephen Richer put it best: “the math ain’t mathing.” Plus, per PolitiFact, only about 37% of 2024 voters cast ballots on Election Day itself.

Yes, but: intimidation isn’t about math. A UC San Diego survey found 40% of respondents thought immigration agents showing up at polls in their area was very or somewhat likely.

Florida: the Key Largo episode

On Oct. 20, per WLRN and the Keys Citizen, agents detained a man near the early-voting site at the Murray Nelson Government Center in Key Largo. It wasn’t ICE but Customs and Border Protection, which said it was pursuing a specific person in a targeted operation. The Monroe County supervisor of elections reviewed it and concluded the stop happened outside the 150-foot zone, access to the site wasn’t blocked, and the incident wasn’t related to voting. In another Florida case, per Scripps News, Border Patrol agents seen at a polling site turned out to have come to vote.

The boring but useful lesson: not every vest near a polling place is an operation against voters. And not every viral video means what its caption says.

If you see agents at your polling place

  • If you’re a registered citizen, vote. Your right doesn’t depend on who’s standing in the parking lot.
  • Verify before you share. PolitiFact warns AI-generated videos of “agents” at polls are already circulating. Check your county elections office website.
  • Tell poll workers or your county elections office. Broward County Supervisor of Elections Joe Scott told PolitiFact: “All of our voters are U.S. citizens — there is no reason for ICE to be there.”
  • Don’t pass on “a friend of a friend said” rumors. Panic works better than any agent.

Our view

We think the real pressure tool here isn’t the agents themselves but uncertainty. “No plans, but if there’s a warrant, we’ll be there” is legally correct. To a family where the son is a voting citizen and the mother has no status, it sounds like a warning. Readers from Russia know this mechanism too well: fear works better than an outright ban, because you can’t challenge fear in court. In the US, fortunately, you can challenge the rest — which is exactly why knowing your rights beats trading TikTok clips.

What’s next

  • Polls close tonight; watch for credible, sourced reports — not anonymous clips.
  • DOJ monitors (ATF, DEA, Bureau of Prisons staff) are working today without police powers.

FAQ

Can ICE come to a polling place? Federal law bars armed agents at polling places. DHS says agents would appear only in case of a threat or to serve a warrant.

Why are people afraid of ICE on Election Day? Statements by Steve Bannon, noncommittal answers from the administration, and incidents with agents near polling sites during the primaries.

What should I do if ICE agents are outside my polling place? Vote if you’re eligible, and report it to poll workers or your county elections office.

Read also

Sources

By Sergey Danilov, American Panorama

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